南京大学学报(自然科学版) ›› 2011, Vol. 47 ›› Issue (3): 330338.
李艳 1,2 ** , 高阳华 1 , 陈鲜艳 3 , 杜钦 1
Li Yan 1, 2 , Gao Yang H ua 1 , Chen Xian Yan 3 , Du Qin 1
摘要: 利用中尺度数值天气预报模式( WRF), 通过控制试验与改变三峡库区水体结构的理想试验, 分析了三峡库区蓄水后可能引起的区域气候效应. 研究结果标明: 针对三峡库区气候特征的再现能力分
析发现逐月模拟实验优于逐日模拟实验; 三峡大坝的水体扩展引起了库区区域气候的较弱变化, 平均气温与平均风速的变化较小, 仅在狭窄的三峡水道上出现了弱的气温升高与风速增大的现象, 变化幅度分
别为 0 ºC5 ~ 1.5 º C 、 0 1~ 1 m/s; 三峡库区水体面积扩大后引起了库区北部部分地区的降水增加, 这主要是由于下垫面的变化与局地特殊地形相耦引起了水汽与风场的变化, 从而影响了降水量的变化. 三峡
工程引起的气候变化主要表现在近地层, 越往高层影响越小, 对 850 hPa 及以上高度层几乎没有影响.
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