河南“21.7”特大暴雨的区域集合预报检验和预报偏差分析

廉丹华, 袁慧玲, 王婧羽, 陈法敬

Verification and error analysis of regional ensemble forecasts for the torrential rain on 20 July 2021 in Henan province

Danhua Lian, Huiling Yuan, Jingyu Wang, Fajing Chen

图2 CMA?REPS预报的7月20日14时至20时的6 h累积降水量（单位：mm）：（a~d）控制预报和（e~h）集合平均 The subtitles represent the forecast leadtimes.

Fig.2 CMA?REPS forecasts of 6 h accumulative precipitation (unit: mm) from 14:00 to 20:00 CST on 20 July for (a~d) control forecasts and (e~h) ensemble averages