南京大学学报(自然科学版) ›› 2010, Vol. 46 ›› Issue (3): 261276.
姜勇强 1, 2 , 宋金杰 1 **
J iang Yong-Qiang 1, 2 , Song Jin -Jie 1
摘要: 利用中尺度 G坐标模式对 2003 年 4 月 12日江西的一次风暴过程进行了数值模拟, 并采用因子分离方法对中尺度地形、 地表状态、 太阳辐射对降水及风暴的影响进行敏感性试验. 结果表明, 模式对
这次风暴过程的模拟较为成功, 模拟的降水及雨带变化都与实况相近, 模拟的低空中尺度气旋与 TBB云团的形成、 演变也比较对应. 这次风暴过程对江西弋阳影响较大, 弋阳的风暴过程是在近地面切变线
上强辐合的动力抬升作用下, 上升气流穿过近地面较薄稳定层进入中低层的不稳定层而加强, 并与从中高层穿越中层相对干冷区的空气在一个倾斜面内交汇而形成的. 中低空 H se 线在弋阳附近上空由准水平
变成近乎垂直状态, 对流稳定度急剧变化, 造成倾斜涡度强烈发展, 对低层中- B尺度气旋的形成起到十分重要的作用. 敏感性试验表明, 当在没有中尺度地形和太阳辐射, 以及改变地表状态的情况下, 降水
和地面中尺度气旋显著减弱. 三个因子不仅单独对降水和地面中尺度气旋及地面气温有重要影响, 而且存在相互作用, 相对来说, 地表状态及其和太阳辐射的相互作用对弋阳的降水有更大的贡献, 采用因子
分离方法可以很好地判断各个因子及其相互作用对降水的强度和位置的影响.
[ 1 ] Newton C W. Structure and mechanisms of the prefrontal squall. Journal of Meteorology, 1950, 7: 210~ 222. [ 2 ] Tepper M. A proposed mechanism of squall lines: the pressure jump line. Journal of Mete - orology, 1950, 7: 21~ 29. [ 3 ] Fujita T T. Microanalytical study of thunder - nose. Geophysical Magazine, 1951, 22: 78~ 88. [ 4 ] Fujita T T . Results of detailed synoptic studies of squall lines. Tellus, 1955, 7, 405~ 436. [ 5 ] Sanders F, Paine R J. T he structure and ther - modynamics of an intense storm in Oklahoma. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 1975, 32: 1563~ 1579. [ 6 ] Ogura Y, Chen Y L. A life history of an intense mesoscale convective storm in Oklahoma. Jour - nal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 1977, 34: 1458~ 1476. [ 7 ] Ogura Y, Liou M T. The structure of a midlat- i tude squall line: A case study. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 1980, 37: 553~ 567. [ 8 ] Gamache J F, Houze Jr R A. Mesoscale air mo - tions associated with a tropical squall line. Monthly Weather Review, 1982, 110: 118~ 135. [ 9 ] Gamache J F, Houze R A. Further analysis of the composite wind and thermodynamic struc - ture of the 12 September GATE squall line. Monthly Weather Review, 1985, 113: 1241~ 1259. [ 10] Houze R A, Rappaport E N. Air motions and precipitation structure of an early summer squall line over the eastern tropical Atlantic. Journalof the Atmospheric Sciences, 1984, 41: 553~ 574. [ 11] Leary C A, Rappaport E N. The life cycle and internal structure of a mesoscale convective complex. Monthly Weather Review, 1987, 115: 1503~ 1527. [ 12] Cunning J B. The Oklahoma -Kansas prelimina - ry regional experiment for STORM -Central. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Socie - ty, 1986, 67: 1478~ 1486. [ 13] Smull B F, Houze Jr R A. Rear inflow in squall lines with trailing stratiform precipitation. M onthly Weather Review, 1987, 115: 2869~ 2889. [ 14] Rutledge S A, Houze Jr R A, Biggerstaff M I, et al. The Oklahoma - Kansas mesoscale convec - tive system of 10- 11 June 1985: Precipitation structure and single -Doppler radar analysis. M onthly Weather Review, 1988, 116: 1409~ 1430. [ 15] Grim J A, Rauber R M, McFarquhar G M , et al. Development and forcing of the rear inflow jet in a rapidly developing and decaying squall line during BAMEX. Monthly Weather Review, 2009, 137: 1206~ 1229. [ 16] M oncrieff M W, Miller M J. The dynamics and simulation of tropical squall line. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 1976, 102: 373~ 394. [ 17] Ross B B. The role of low - level convergence and latent heating in a simulation of observed squall line formation. Monthly Weather Review, 1987, 115: 2298~ 2321. [ 18] Zhang D L, Gao K, Parsons D B. Numerical simulation of an intense squall line during 10) 11 June 1985 PRE) STORM. Part I: Model verification. Monthly Weather Review, 1989, 117: 960~ 994. [ 19] Zhang D L, Gao K. Numerical simulation of an intense squall line during 10) 11 June 1985 PRE) STORM. Part II: Rear inflow, surface pressure perturbations and stratiform precipita - tion. Monthly Weather Review, 1989, 117: 2067~ 2094. [ 20] Weisman M L, T rapp R J. Low-level mesovor - tices within squall lines and bow echoes. Part I: Overview and dependence on environmental shear. Monthly Weather Review, 2003, 131: 2779~ 2803. [ 21] Trapp R J, Weisman M L. Low-level mesovor - tices within squall lines and bow echoes. Part II: T heir genesis and implications. Monthly Weather Review, 2003, 131: 2804~ 2823. [ 22] Fovell R G. Upstream influence of numerically simulated squal- l line storms. Quarterly Journal of the Royal M eteorological Society, 2002, 128: 893~ 912. [ 23] Ying D M, Guo Y. Doppler radar data analysis of a severe convection weather in Jiangxi prov - ince. Jiangxi Meteorological Science and T ech- nology, 2003, 26( 3): 20~ 22. ( 应冬梅, 郭艳. 江西省一次强对流天气的多普勒天气雷达分析, 江西气象科技, 2003, 26( 3) : 20~ 22) . [ 24] Qian C H, Zhang J Y, Ying D M, et al. A se - vere convection weather of Jiangxi in April 2003. Journal of Applied M eteorological Sc- i ence, 2007, 18( 4): 460~ 467. ( 钱传海, 张金艳, 应冬梅等. 2003 年 4 月江西一次强对流天 气过程的诊断分析, 应用气象学报, 2007, 18 (4): 460~ 467). [ 25] Mu X Y, Dang R Q, Cheng Q P. Radar data a - nalysis and numerical simulation of a squall line. Journal of Applied Meteorological Science, 2007, 18( 1): 42~ 49. (慕熙昱, 党人庆, 陈秋 萍. 一次飑线过程的雷达回波分析与数值模拟. 应用气象学报, 2007, 18( 1) : 42~ 49) . [ 26] Pan Y J, Zhao K, Pan Y N. T he single -doppler radar observation of a high precipitation( HP) supercell accompanied with the 12 April 2004 severe squall line in Fujian. Acta Meteorologica Sinica, 2008, 66( 4) : 621~ 636. (潘玉洁, 赵坤, 潘益农. 一次强飑线内强降水超级单体风暴的单多普勒雷达分析. 气象学报, 2008, 66 (4): 621~ 636). [ 27] Wang Y, Pan Y N, Pan Y J. A case study on squall line: Numerical simulation and diagnosis analysis. Journal of Nanjing University( Natural Sciences), 2008, 44( 6) : 583~ 597. ( 王 焱, 潘益农, 潘玉洁. 一次飑线过程的数值模拟及诊断分析. 南京大学学报( 自然科学), 2008,44( 6) : 583~ 597) . [ 28] Stein U, Alpert P. Factor separation in numer- i cal simulations, Journal of the Atmospheric Sc- i ences, 1993, 50: 2107~ 2115. [ 29] Luo S L, Zhi S L, Yu B. Radar data and thun - der information analysis of a severe convection weather. Jiangxi Meteorological Science and T echnology. 2004, 27( 3) : 44~ 47. ( 罗树如, 支树林, 俞 炳. 一次强对流天气过程的雷达产品和雷电信息分析. 江西气象科技, 2004, 27( 3) : 44~ 47) . [ 30] Jiang Y Q, Zhang W H, Zhou Z G, et al. Me - soscale rainstorm model M RM1 and its impact test. Journal of PLA U niversity of Science and T echnology ( Natural Sciences Edition), 2002,3(1): 1~ 7. ( 姜勇强, 张维桓, 周祖刚等. 中尺度暴雨模式 MRM1 简介及预报效果检验. 解放军理工大学学报( 自然科学版), 2002, 3( 1) : 1~ 7) . [ 31] Yu R C, Zeng Q C, Peng G K, et al. Research on/ Ya -An -T ian -Lou0. Part II: Numerical tria- l forecasting. Scientia Atmospherica Sinica, 1994, 18(5): 535~ 551. (宇如聪, 曾庆存, 彭 贵康等. / 雅安天漏0研究Ò: 数值预报试验. 大气科学, 1994, 18( 5) : 535~ 551). [ 32] Zhang D L, Anthes R A. A high -resolution model of the planetary boundary layer -sensitiv- i ty tests and comparisons with SESAM E -79 da - ta. Journal of Applied Meteorology, 1982, 21: 594~ 1609. [ 33] Betts A K. A new convective adjustment scheme, Part Ñ : Observational and theoretical basis. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteoro - logical Society, 1986, 112: 677~ 691. [ 34] Wallace J M, Tibaldi S, Simmons A J. Reduc - tion of systematic forecast errors in the ECMWF model through the introduction of an envelope orography. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Me - teorological Society, 1983, 109: 683~ 717. [ 35] Wu G X, Cai Y P, Tang X J. Moist potential vorticity and slantwise vorticity development. Acta Meteorologica Sinica, 1995, 53( 4) : 387~ 405. (吴国雄, 蔡雅萍, 唐晓菁. 湿位涡和倾斜涡度发展. 气象学报, 1995, 53( 4) : 387~ 405). [ 36] Wu G X, Cai Y P. Vertical wind shear anddown -sliding slantwise vorticity development. Scientia Atmospherica Sinica, 1997, 21 ( 3): 273~ 282. ( 吴国雄, 蔡雅萍. 风垂直切变和下 滑倾斜涡 度发展. 大气科学, 1997, 21( 3): 273~ 282). [ 37] Tang X W, Tang J P, Zhang X L. An ingraed- ient -based operational heavy rain quantitativeforecast system. Journal of Nanjing University ( Natural Sciences), 2010, 46( 3) : 277~ 283. (唐晓文, 汤剑平, 张小玲. 基于业务中尺度模式的/ 配料法0强降水定量预报. 南京大学学报(自然科学) , 2010, 46(3): 277~ 283) . [ 38] Alpert P, T sidulko M , Stein U. Can sensitivity studies yield absolute comparisons for the effects of several processes? Journal of the At-mospheric Sciences, 1995, 52: 597~ 601 |
No related articles found! |
|